Thursday, September 13, 2012

Week 2 Fantasy Football Hot n Not's, the Start'em Sit'em



HOT - Start'em

QB

Eli Manning – This one seems obvious to me, but to some they may not be ready to expect top 3 or 4 numbers this week after last week’s loss at home on opening night where Eli only threw for 213 yards and one TD.  I expect Eli and the Giants to come out hungry and come out fast. They’ve had 10 days off to marinate on that loss to their divisional foe Cowboys and now they have a second chance for a win at home.  I expect Eli to throw for 275+ and 3 TD’s. Helping Eli’s cause will be the Giants Defense eating Josh Freeman alive and creating short drives and turnovers. Freeman last week only threw for 138 yards and the Panthers don’t have the pass rushers the Giants do, or the desire of redemption.

Honorable mentions:  Alex Smith and Carson Palmer

RB

Jacquizz Rodgers – Last week Rodgers rushed seven times for 22 yards and added two receptions on 4 targets for 13 yards against the Chiefs. His counterpart Michael Turner ran for just 32 yards on 11 carries. The two split snaps with 26 for Turner and 25 for Rodgers. Turner is still the goal line back, but I think this week on Monday Night Football is Rodgers coming out party and the other shoe will drop in a shift in the focus of ATL’s running game. Rodgers is flex worthy this week in PPR and should become a mainstay as such after this week. 

Honorable mentions:  Peyton Hillis and Mark Ingram

WR

Alshon Jeffrey and Brandon LaFell – Both play in potentially high scoring affairs and benefit from playing opposite a stud WR.  Last week Jeffrey caught three of his five targets for 80 yards and a touchdown, while seeing the second most snaps amongst Bears wide outs.  LaFell tied for the 3rd most targets on the Panthers and he played every snap notching 5 targets with 3 receptions for 65 yards and a touchdown.  Both have WR3 or flex appeal with WR2 upside based on this week’s matchup.

Honorable mention:  James Jones 

TE

Brandon Pettigrew – Last week received a team high 10 targets and he caught 5 for 77 yards. This week the Lions will travel to San Fran and matchup against a defense that may approach the Lions the same as they did the Packers where they played 2 deep safeties and rushed only four.  Finley in last week’s matchup against the 49ers got 11 targets with 7 receptions, 47 yards and a touchdown. I expect similar production from Pettigrew this week.

Honorable mention:  Brent Celek

NOT - Sit'em

QB

Tony Romo – Everything is set up for a Big D let down in Seattle this weekend. The Cowboys have been riding high after winning on the road in New York 10 days ago come Sunday. Returning to the site of his greatest blunder (botched FG snap), Romo will hear and feel the 12th man in Seattle.  If there is a thing called a trap game, this is it. Just ask the Saints about their trip to Seattle when they had momentum and eyes looking ahead. This Seattle team is much better. If Romo follows up his week 1 performance on the road in Seattle, he has truly turned the corner; history suggests it most likely won’t happen.

Cautious mentions:  Michael Vick and Ben Roethlisberger

RB

Maurice Jones Drew – Coming off his first game back and now a full week of practice, MJD is expected to start. However, he will be asked to do more this week with Rashad Jennings likely out due to knee injury.  If MJD is going to have the holdout hammy/injury it will be this week against a tough Texans defense.  Jax is going to have to score and score a lot to compete in this game and this may be asking more than MJD can physically give considering his lack of training camp and “football” action. I’m just saying.

WR

Roddy White – Two words. Champ Bailey.

Cautious mentions:  Brandon Lloyd and Dez Bryant

TE

Tony Gonzalez – For the reason I mention Jacquizz Rodgers at a HOT in week 2 is why I list Gonzo as a NOT. Rodgers will see more targets out of the backfield and those will come at the expense of Tony. Tony will be used to clear the flat and take the LB’s out, permitting Rodgers open space on that fast GA Dome turf to make plays.

Cautious mention:  Jason Witten